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Statistically, Iraq is doing much worse under the "Surge"
Tags: politics

Here are the numbers (below), put together by Kevin Drum at Washington Monthly.

In a nutshell, the "tactical improvements" touted in Iraq by General Petraeus is patently false, the narrative of the "military making progress, but the Maliki government doing nothing" very misleading.

It's an insurgency. Soldiers go out, chat with people, and things are fine for a week, and then a tanker truck blows up at a gas station and kills 50+.

The US is arming both sects, the Sunnis and the Shia, and both sects hate the occupation even more than they hate their sectarian foes.

How long will this mass suffering go on? And when will that foolish argument that "we're fighting them there instead of here" get put to rest?


Violence Metrics


June/July
2006

June/July
2007


Change

Iraqi Military and Police Killed

349

429

Up 23%

Multiple Fatality Bombings

110

82

Down 25%

# Killed in Mult. Fatality Bombings

885

1,053

Up 19%

Iraqi Civilians Killed
(All violent causes)

6,739

5,300

Hard to say1

U.S. Troop Fatalities

104

187

Up 80%

U.S. Troops Wounded

983

1,423

Up 45%

Size of Insurgency

20,000+

~70,0002

Up ~250%

Attacks on Oil and Gas Pipelines

8

143

Up 75%

1Methodology changed dramatically between 2006 and 2007, so numbers are highly suspect.
2Number is for March 2007.
3Numbers are for June only. No July numbers are available.

Infrastructure Metrics


June/July
2006

June/July
2007


Change

Diesel Fuel Available

26.7 Ml

20.7 Ml

Down 22%

Kerosene Available

7.08 Ml

6.3 Ml

Down 11%

Gasoline Available

29.4 Ml

22.2 Ml

Down 24%

LPG Available

4,936 tons

4,932 tons

Down 0.1%

Electricity Generated

8,800 Mwatts

8,420 Mwatts

Down 4%

Hours Electricity Per Day

11.7

10.14

Down ~14%

4No numbers available for June/July. Figure is extrapolated from May and August numbers.
 
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